1 00:00:07,349 --> 00:00:05,590 we've invited you not just to hear the 2 00:00:09,669 --> 00:00:07,359 president speak but to 3 00:00:12,150 --> 00:00:09,679 to the next phase of the day so if i can 4 00:00:14,070 --> 00:00:12,160 get everybody to just calm down for a 5 00:00:16,310 --> 00:00:14,080 minute we're going to let you get on 6 00:00:19,029 --> 00:00:16,320 buses and go do what the other part of 7 00:00:20,950 --> 00:00:19,039 what we brought you here for 8 00:00:22,470 --> 00:00:20,960 space is critical to this nation and the 9 00:00:25,109 --> 00:00:22,480 men and women of nasa are working 10 00:00:26,070 --> 00:00:25,119 tirelessly to enable the new plans for 11 00:00:27,750 --> 00:00:26,080 nasa 12 00:00:29,589 --> 00:00:27,760 these new plans set the stage for 13 00:00:31,349 --> 00:00:29,599 transformative space achievements over 14 00:00:33,030 --> 00:00:31,359 the coming years 15 00:00:35,670 --> 00:00:33,040 there are a lot of peop smart people in 16 00:00:36,950 --> 00:00:35,680 the room today lots of smart people in 17 00:00:39,830 --> 00:00:36,960 the room today 18 00:00:41,990 --> 00:00:39,840 uh not the least of whom is my friend dr 19 00:00:45,350 --> 00:00:42,000 ed crawley who's sitting there going i 20 00:00:47,270 --> 00:00:45,360 wonder who he's talking about bo bemik 21 00:00:49,430 --> 00:00:47,280 and i should stop now because i'll run 22 00:00:50,869 --> 00:00:49,440 out of names and everything but there 23 00:00:52,549 --> 00:00:50,879 are lots of smart people here and we 24 00:00:54,229 --> 00:00:52,559 want to take advantage of having you all 25 00:00:55,910 --> 00:00:54,239 here 26 00:00:58,069 --> 00:00:55,920 i know that we can count on all of you 27 00:00:59,750 --> 00:00:58,079 to contribute your thoughts and your 28 00:01:01,349 --> 00:00:59,760 ideas and the sessions that follow and 29 00:01:02,150 --> 00:01:01,359 we really want you to do that this is 30 00:01:03,670 --> 00:01:02,160 not 31 00:01:05,670 --> 00:01:03,680 um 32 00:01:08,070 --> 00:01:05,680 this is not for show 33 00:01:10,310 --> 00:01:08,080 okay please understand 34 00:01:11,990 --> 00:01:10,320 we want your ideas we want your thoughts 35 00:01:14,070 --> 00:01:12,000 you're going to hear some panelists talk 36 00:01:16,789 --> 00:01:14,080 and give their ideas 37 00:01:20,390 --> 00:01:16,799 if you have competing ideas or ideas to 38 00:01:22,390 --> 00:01:20,400 the contrary uh it's okay 39 00:01:24,550 --> 00:01:22,400 if we come out of this day 40 00:01:27,270 --> 00:01:24,560 and uh and it's like we were all looking 41 00:01:30,390 --> 00:01:27,280 at the same hymnal and singing the same 42 00:01:32,630 --> 00:01:30,400 song then we have failed 43 00:01:35,910 --> 00:01:32,640 we really want people to discuss today 44 00:01:37,429 --> 00:01:35,920 because we want to learn from you 45 00:01:39,190 --> 00:01:37,439 before i begin i've asked two 46 00:01:41,749 --> 00:01:39,200 individuals to provide some initial 47 00:01:42,789 --> 00:01:41,759 comments as we head into our breakout 48 00:01:44,870 --> 00:01:42,799 sessions 49 00:01:46,870 --> 00:01:44,880 these comments will help provide context 50 00:01:48,310 --> 00:01:46,880 and foundation for the conversations to 51 00:01:50,230 --> 00:01:48,320 come 52 00:01:52,630 --> 00:01:50,240 i'd like to provide some short words of 53 00:01:56,149 --> 00:01:52,640 introduction for people who i consider 54 00:01:57,990 --> 00:01:56,159 to be national assets and real friends 55 00:01:59,510 --> 00:01:58,000 dr john holdren 56 00:02:01,190 --> 00:01:59,520 is the assistant to the president for 57 00:02:02,950 --> 00:02:01,200 science and technology and the director 58 00:02:05,510 --> 00:02:02,960 of the white house science office of 59 00:02:07,030 --> 00:02:05,520 science and technology policy 60 00:02:08,949 --> 00:02:07,040 john has a long and distinguished 61 00:02:10,710 --> 00:02:08,959 history in academia 62 00:02:12,550 --> 00:02:10,720 besides holding advanced degrees in 63 00:02:15,670 --> 00:02:12,560 aerospace engineering and theoretical 64 00:02:17,270 --> 00:02:15,680 plasma physics from mit and stanford he 65 00:02:19,510 --> 00:02:17,280 has taught at harvard 66 00:02:21,190 --> 00:02:19,520 and berkeley he was the director of the 67 00:02:22,630 --> 00:02:21,200 independent nonprofit woods hole 68 00:02:24,309 --> 00:02:22,640 research center 69 00:02:25,910 --> 00:02:24,319 he's a member of the national academy of 70 00:02:27,110 --> 00:02:25,920 sciences the national academy of 71 00:02:28,790 --> 00:02:27,120 engineering 72 00:02:29,910 --> 00:02:28,800 and the american academy of arts and 73 00:02:31,830 --> 00:02:29,920 sciences 74 00:02:33,910 --> 00:02:31,840 as well as a foreign member of the royal 75 00:02:35,509 --> 00:02:33,920 society of london 76 00:02:37,110 --> 00:02:35,519 a former president 77 00:02:39,509 --> 00:02:37,120 of the american association for the 78 00:02:41,430 --> 00:02:39,519 advancement of science his awards 79 00:02:42,630 --> 00:02:41,440 include the macarthur foundation prize 80 00:02:46,150 --> 00:02:42,640 fellowship 81 00:02:47,990 --> 00:02:46,160 the john hines prize in public policy 82 00:02:49,670 --> 00:02:48,000 the tyler prize for environmental 83 00:02:50,869 --> 00:02:49,680 achievement and the volvo environment 84 00:02:52,710 --> 00:02:50,879 prize 85 00:02:54,790 --> 00:02:52,720 this is the man you want advising the 86 00:02:57,509 --> 00:02:54,800 president on science and technology and 87 00:02:59,190 --> 00:02:57,519 we're lucky to have him with us today 88 00:03:01,589 --> 00:02:59,200 shortly after president obama took 89 00:03:02,949 --> 00:03:01,599 office he turned to another leader to 90 00:03:04,470 --> 00:03:02,959 advise him 91 00:03:05,670 --> 00:03:04,480 on the direction of the u s space 92 00:03:07,670 --> 00:03:05,680 program 93 00:03:09,670 --> 00:03:07,680 that was norm augustine 94 00:03:11,509 --> 00:03:09,680 noam augustine has served as a leader of 95 00:03:12,630 --> 00:03:11,519 some of america's strongest aerospace 96 00:03:14,790 --> 00:03:12,640 companies 97 00:03:16,949 --> 00:03:14,800 he's he is quite possibly the most 98 00:03:18,710 --> 00:03:16,959 recognized member of our corporate 99 00:03:20,470 --> 00:03:18,720 aerospace community 100 00:03:22,470 --> 00:03:20,480 he served on the president's council of 101 00:03:24,630 --> 00:03:22,480 advisors on science and technology under 102 00:03:25,750 --> 00:03:24,640 both democratic and republican 103 00:03:27,670 --> 00:03:25,760 presidents 104 00:03:29,990 --> 00:03:27,680 in addition and in addition to last 105 00:03:31,910 --> 00:03:30,000 year's committee he led the 1990 106 00:03:35,030 --> 00:03:31,920 advisory committee on the future of u.s 107 00:03:37,030 --> 00:03:35,040 space programs and the 2005 national 108 00:03:39,190 --> 00:03:37,040 academies commission that produced the 109 00:03:41,750 --> 00:03:39,200 landmark report rising above the 110 00:03:44,869 --> 00:03:41,760 gathering storm energizing and employing 111 00:03:47,030 --> 00:03:44,879 america for a brighter economic future 112 00:03:49,030 --> 00:03:47,040 he is also the author of the well-known 113 00:03:52,070 --> 00:03:49,040 augustine laws books 114 00:03:53,910 --> 00:03:52,080 which feature his deep wisdom 115 00:04:06,710 --> 00:03:53,920 and wit 116 00:04:10,149 --> 00:04:08,390 charlie thank you very much and 117 00:04:11,830 --> 00:04:10,159 especially thank you for the plug for my 118 00:04:13,350 --> 00:04:11,840 book 119 00:04:15,110 --> 00:04:13,360 if any of you happen to have a copy 120 00:04:17,430 --> 00:04:15,120 you're a member of a very select small 121 00:04:24,310 --> 00:04:18,310 i 122 00:04:26,230 --> 00:04:24,320 general bolden 123 00:04:28,150 --> 00:04:26,240 this is a pivotal time 124 00:04:29,430 --> 00:04:28,160 and his impact is going to be so 125 00:04:31,270 --> 00:04:29,440 important 126 00:04:33,430 --> 00:04:31,280 uh i'd like to before i begin 127 00:04:36,469 --> 00:04:33,440 acknowledge that several members of my 128 00:04:39,030 --> 00:04:36,479 committee our committee are here today 129 00:04:41,110 --> 00:04:39,040 charlie mentioned several of them uh 130 00:04:43,270 --> 00:04:41,120 and i'd just like to thank them for all 131 00:04:44,710 --> 00:04:43,280 they had done to contribute to this 132 00:04:47,670 --> 00:04:44,720 effort 133 00:04:49,030 --> 00:04:47,680 i've been asked to offer the perspective 134 00:04:50,950 --> 00:04:49,040 of our 135 00:04:52,710 --> 00:04:50,960 group that conducted the study 136 00:04:54,310 --> 00:04:52,720 of future planning for the human space 137 00:04:55,350 --> 00:04:54,320 flight program 138 00:04:57,350 --> 00:04:55,360 and to 139 00:04:59,110 --> 00:04:57,360 share with you a few of the 140 00:05:01,350 --> 00:04:59,120 factors that have to be considered in 141 00:05:03,830 --> 00:05:01,360 putting together a space program that 142 00:05:05,670 --> 00:05:03,840 will be sustainable 143 00:05:07,990 --> 00:05:05,680 i i should mention that our committee 144 00:05:11,430 --> 00:05:08,000 had 10 members included astronauts 145 00:05:14,150 --> 00:05:11,440 scientists engineers 146 00:05:16,629 --> 00:05:14,160 former presidential appointees 147 00:05:18,550 --> 00:05:16,639 air force general officer retired 148 00:05:20,870 --> 00:05:18,560 and and so on 149 00:05:21,830 --> 00:05:20,880 we were given 90 days to conduct our 150 00:05:24,790 --> 00:05:21,840 study 151 00:05:26,870 --> 00:05:24,800 the title of which was seeking a human 152 00:05:28,070 --> 00:05:26,880 space flight program 153 00:05:31,350 --> 00:05:28,080 worthy 154 00:05:35,430 --> 00:05:33,749 i should probably emphasize the role 155 00:05:37,510 --> 00:05:35,440 that we were asked to take 156 00:05:38,870 --> 00:05:37,520 we were specifically not asked to make a 157 00:05:41,830 --> 00:05:38,880 recommendation 158 00:05:42,790 --> 00:05:41,840 as to a particular human space flight 159 00:05:45,110 --> 00:05:42,800 program 160 00:05:46,710 --> 00:05:45,120 rather we would offer options 161 00:05:48,950 --> 00:05:46,720 and as i understand it the reason for 162 00:05:49,909 --> 00:05:48,960 that was to permit us 163 00:05:52,710 --> 00:05:49,919 to 164 00:05:54,710 --> 00:05:52,720 be very independent and dispassionate in 165 00:05:56,550 --> 00:05:54,720 trying to provide the pros and cons of 166 00:05:58,870 --> 00:05:56,560 various alternatives 167 00:06:02,790 --> 00:05:58,880 and not to be burdened with having to 168 00:06:04,790 --> 00:06:02,800 defend any particular recommendation 169 00:06:06,469 --> 00:06:04,800 furthermore the answer to what is an 170 00:06:08,309 --> 00:06:06,479 appropriate space program 171 00:06:10,629 --> 00:06:08,319 depends so heavily on what the nation 172 00:06:12,629 --> 00:06:10,639 can afford to pay for it 173 00:06:13,990 --> 00:06:12,639 and that of course is the role of the 174 00:06:17,590 --> 00:06:14,000 congress and the president and not 175 00:06:21,590 --> 00:06:19,350 in all candor i have to say that i've 176 00:06:23,749 --> 00:06:21,600 spent most of my adult life working in 177 00:06:26,870 --> 00:06:23,759 the space program 178 00:06:29,270 --> 00:06:26,880 i candidly i'm an advocate 179 00:06:31,430 --> 00:06:29,280 and i have many friends who are on all 180 00:06:33,510 --> 00:06:31,440 sides of the current debate about the 181 00:06:35,590 --> 00:06:33,520 space program 182 00:06:39,830 --> 00:06:35,600 this is a topic in which 183 00:06:42,230 --> 00:06:39,840 reasonable people can and do disagree 184 00:06:44,150 --> 00:06:42,240 let me quickly summarize the issues that 185 00:06:45,990 --> 00:06:44,160 needed to be taken into consideration 186 00:06:47,909 --> 00:06:46,000 and putting together a program 187 00:06:49,510 --> 00:06:47,919 such as the president is described to us 188 00:06:51,909 --> 00:06:49,520 today 189 00:06:54,070 --> 00:06:51,919 it has many moving parts interdependent 190 00:06:56,070 --> 00:06:54,080 moving parts 191 00:06:58,390 --> 00:06:56,080 first of all there is a space pro the 192 00:07:00,070 --> 00:06:58,400 space shuttle program 193 00:07:02,150 --> 00:07:00,080 a long time ago the space shuttle 194 00:07:04,950 --> 00:07:02,160 program was decided to be terminated at 195 00:07:07,350 --> 00:07:04,960 the end of the current fiscal year 196 00:07:09,110 --> 00:07:07,360 and that we would depend upon russia 197 00:07:11,350 --> 00:07:09,120 during the interim until we had an 198 00:07:13,670 --> 00:07:11,360 appropriate launch vehicle to launch our 199 00:07:15,510 --> 00:07:13,680 astronauts into low earth orbit 200 00:07:19,510 --> 00:07:15,520 that interim appears to be about five to 201 00:07:22,629 --> 00:07:21,430 we could of course restart the shuttle 202 00:07:24,790 --> 00:07:22,639 program 203 00:07:27,350 --> 00:07:24,800 the problem with doing that 204 00:07:30,230 --> 00:07:27,360 is that it consumes funds that are badly 205 00:07:32,710 --> 00:07:30,240 needed for the exploration program 206 00:07:36,230 --> 00:07:32,720 furthermore it confines us to low earth 207 00:07:38,309 --> 00:07:36,240 orbit for a prolonged period of time 208 00:07:39,270 --> 00:07:38,319 it does have the benefit that it helps 209 00:07:42,550 --> 00:07:39,280 to 210 00:07:45,189 --> 00:07:42,560 reduce the turbulence in the employment 211 00:07:46,550 --> 00:07:45,199 of a very talented group of people 212 00:07:47,909 --> 00:07:46,560 but once again 213 00:07:49,990 --> 00:07:47,919 one is faced 214 00:07:52,070 --> 00:07:50,000 with trying to maintain total continuity 215 00:07:54,150 --> 00:07:52,080 of employment on one hand 216 00:07:55,990 --> 00:07:54,160 and on the other having a program for 217 00:07:57,430 --> 00:07:56,000 the future 218 00:07:58,629 --> 00:07:57,440 turning to the international space 219 00:08:00,950 --> 00:07:58,639 station 220 00:08:03,430 --> 00:08:00,960 it's taken us nearly 20 years to put 221 00:08:05,270 --> 00:08:03,440 that station in place and declare it 222 00:08:07,430 --> 00:08:05,280 operational 223 00:08:09,909 --> 00:08:07,440 the previous plan called for ending that 224 00:08:14,390 --> 00:08:09,919 program five years from now after only 225 00:08:18,790 --> 00:08:16,710 it would seem that the marginal benefit 226 00:08:21,029 --> 00:08:18,800 and cost i'm not referring to a sunk 227 00:08:22,869 --> 00:08:21,039 cost but a marginal cost 228 00:08:25,189 --> 00:08:22,879 of continuing to operate that program at 229 00:08:26,550 --> 00:08:25,199 least another five years 230 00:08:27,909 --> 00:08:26,560 is a very good 231 00:08:29,990 --> 00:08:27,919 investment 232 00:08:31,510 --> 00:08:30,000 furthermore our committee's visits with 233 00:08:33,509 --> 00:08:31,520 leaders of other countries and their 234 00:08:36,790 --> 00:08:33,519 space programs 235 00:08:39,269 --> 00:08:36,800 convinced us that to stop operating 236 00:08:41,029 --> 00:08:39,279 the the iss 237 00:08:42,709 --> 00:08:41,039 five years from now 238 00:08:46,949 --> 00:08:42,719 would be very damaging to our 239 00:08:49,829 --> 00:08:46,959 relationship with our partners in space 240 00:08:51,509 --> 00:08:49,839 let me turn to the constellation program 241 00:08:54,870 --> 00:08:51,519 at the time the constellation program 242 00:08:58,630 --> 00:08:54,880 was initiated in 2005 243 00:08:59,590 --> 00:08:58,640 it very very reasonably was a executable 244 00:09:01,110 --> 00:08:59,600 program 245 00:09:02,710 --> 00:09:01,120 it was one that could certainly be 246 00:09:05,910 --> 00:09:02,720 defended 247 00:09:07,750 --> 00:09:05,920 but for a large variety of reasons 248 00:09:09,190 --> 00:09:07,760 the actual funding that's been available 249 00:09:11,190 --> 00:09:09,200 to that program 250 00:09:12,870 --> 00:09:11,200 has been about a third less than the 251 00:09:15,430 --> 00:09:12,880 original plan 252 00:09:16,790 --> 00:09:15,440 that's been exacerbated by several other 253 00:09:17,990 --> 00:09:16,800 factors 254 00:09:23,110 --> 00:09:18,000 one 255 00:09:24,790 --> 00:09:23,120 iss beyond the first five years so if 256 00:09:27,670 --> 00:09:24,800 you continue it you have to take more 257 00:09:30,389 --> 00:09:27,680 money to make the old plan work more 258 00:09:32,070 --> 00:09:30,399 money away from the constellation 259 00:09:35,430 --> 00:09:32,080 there was no provision made in funding 260 00:09:39,190 --> 00:09:35,440 to deorbit the iss 261 00:09:40,710 --> 00:09:39,200 a now a 900 000 plus pound object 262 00:09:43,030 --> 00:09:40,720 which uh 263 00:09:46,070 --> 00:09:43,040 uh needs to be responsibly disposed of 264 00:09:48,230 --> 00:09:46,080 when its life does come to an end 265 00:09:51,190 --> 00:09:48,240 ares 1 encountered technical problems as 266 00:09:53,269 --> 00:09:51,200 we all know the kind one might expected 267 00:09:55,269 --> 00:09:53,279 a tough development program but it was 268 00:09:56,949 --> 00:09:55,279 required to shift funds to solve those 269 00:09:59,269 --> 00:09:56,959 problems 270 00:10:01,350 --> 00:09:59,279 the bottom line is that 271 00:10:03,350 --> 00:10:01,360 the view of our committee 272 00:10:05,509 --> 00:10:03,360 the consolation program 273 00:10:08,069 --> 00:10:05,519 as it then existed 274 00:10:10,230 --> 00:10:08,079 was not executable 275 00:10:11,110 --> 00:10:10,240 the main reason was a mismatch between 276 00:10:20,790 --> 00:10:11,120 the 277 00:10:22,470 --> 00:10:20,800 and that is that in essence what was 278 00:10:23,910 --> 00:10:22,480 being asked of the citizens of this 279 00:10:26,150 --> 00:10:23,920 country 280 00:10:28,949 --> 00:10:26,160 was to add another 60 billion dollars to 281 00:10:31,110 --> 00:10:28,959 the budget for the next two decades to 282 00:10:33,430 --> 00:10:31,120 what was already in the plan for the 283 00:10:36,790 --> 00:10:33,440 constellation 284 00:10:39,590 --> 00:10:36,800 and in late 2020 if all went well 285 00:10:41,269 --> 00:10:39,600 we would land on the moon 286 00:10:43,110 --> 00:10:41,279 but in talking to 287 00:10:44,310 --> 00:10:43,120 many many people and particularly young 288 00:10:46,630 --> 00:10:44,320 people 289 00:10:48,389 --> 00:10:46,640 the reaction tended to be 290 00:10:50,470 --> 00:10:48,399 well that was my grandfather's space 291 00:10:52,630 --> 00:10:50,480 program and i say that buzz with all 292 00:10:55,350 --> 00:10:52,640 apologies you and neal 293 00:10:59,269 --> 00:10:57,829 the uh 294 00:11:00,710 --> 00:10:59,279 next thing that should be mentioned is 295 00:11:02,389 --> 00:11:00,720 the aries one 296 00:11:04,310 --> 00:11:02,399 the launch vehicle 297 00:11:05,670 --> 00:11:04,320 the ares one of course 298 00:11:08,630 --> 00:11:05,680 suffered from the problems of the 299 00:11:10,389 --> 00:11:08,640 constellation program as a whole 300 00:11:12,870 --> 00:11:10,399 four years into its life when we 301 00:11:14,630 --> 00:11:12,880 conducted our study last summer 302 00:11:16,310 --> 00:11:14,640 it's schedule it slipped between three 303 00:11:18,069 --> 00:11:16,320 and five years 304 00:11:20,389 --> 00:11:18,079 so that it tended to be too late to 305 00:11:23,350 --> 00:11:20,399 support the international space station 306 00:11:25,910 --> 00:11:23,360 and really too early to support the any 307 00:11:26,949 --> 00:11:25,920 exploration program or a return to the 308 00:11:28,870 --> 00:11:26,959 moon 309 00:11:30,389 --> 00:11:28,880 meanwhile it was consuming money that 310 00:11:31,990 --> 00:11:30,399 was much needed 311 00:11:34,550 --> 00:11:32,000 for a heavy lift launch vehicle and 312 00:11:38,069 --> 00:11:34,560 other purposes 313 00:11:39,670 --> 00:11:38,079 ares 5 the heavy lift launch vehicle 314 00:11:42,230 --> 00:11:39,680 it's very clear this nation needs a 315 00:11:43,910 --> 00:11:42,240 heavy lift launch vehicle and soon that 316 00:11:47,030 --> 00:11:43,920 was a conclusion of the study i was 317 00:11:49,350 --> 00:11:47,040 involved in 20 years ago as well 318 00:11:51,990 --> 00:11:49,360 it's a capability though that in terms 319 00:11:53,590 --> 00:11:52,000 of aries 5 had barely started because 320 00:11:56,550 --> 00:11:53,600 much of the money had had to be diverted 321 00:11:59,750 --> 00:11:56,560 away from it 322 00:12:01,750 --> 00:11:59,760 by turning to the orion capsule 323 00:12:03,269 --> 00:12:01,760 the orion capsule once again is the sort 324 00:12:04,550 --> 00:12:03,279 of a thing that will be needed in our 325 00:12:07,110 --> 00:12:04,560 space program 326 00:12:10,230 --> 00:12:07,120 more or less any direction it takes 327 00:12:11,590 --> 00:12:10,240 and a less costly version of it would 328 00:12:13,910 --> 00:12:11,600 provide for us 329 00:12:16,069 --> 00:12:13,920 a very good crew rescue vehicle 330 00:12:17,670 --> 00:12:16,079 that could be used 331 00:12:19,350 --> 00:12:17,680 if indeed 332 00:12:22,389 --> 00:12:19,360 we shut the shuttle down which as you've 333 00:12:24,389 --> 00:12:22,399 heard the president intends to do 334 00:12:27,430 --> 00:12:24,399 finally there's the issue of carrying 335 00:12:29,590 --> 00:12:27,440 cargo and crude to low earth orbit 336 00:12:32,949 --> 00:12:29,600 today nasa is essentially trapped in low 337 00:12:38,069 --> 00:12:32,959 earth orbit by the cost of hauling cargo 338 00:12:42,550 --> 00:12:40,069 using commercial firms to provide that 339 00:12:44,069 --> 00:12:42,560 capability there should be substantial 340 00:12:46,150 --> 00:12:44,079 savings possible 341 00:12:47,110 --> 00:12:46,160 that will let nasa focus its immense 342 00:12:49,670 --> 00:12:47,120 talents 343 00:12:51,030 --> 00:12:49,680 on the more exciting things of exploring 344 00:12:52,389 --> 00:12:51,040 outer space 345 00:12:55,110 --> 00:12:52,399 as opposed 346 00:12:59,110 --> 00:12:55,120 to hauling cargo and people between here 347 00:13:02,550 --> 00:13:00,470 you may recall that the commercial 348 00:13:04,310 --> 00:13:02,560 airlines were created 349 00:13:07,110 --> 00:13:04,320 when the u.s government 350 00:13:08,870 --> 00:13:07,120 awarded contracts to carry the mail 351 00:13:09,670 --> 00:13:08,880 we have the same kind of an opportunity 352 00:13:11,829 --> 00:13:09,680 here 353 00:13:15,430 --> 00:13:11,839 for nasa to ward contracts to carry 354 00:13:17,430 --> 00:13:15,440 people cargo fuel to orbit 355 00:13:21,269 --> 00:13:17,440 and to save money such that nasa could 356 00:13:22,870 --> 00:13:21,279 focus on the more exciting things 357 00:13:25,910 --> 00:13:22,880 now i would never suggest that we 358 00:13:27,910 --> 00:13:25,920 confuse airline operations with space 359 00:13:29,509 --> 00:13:27,920 operations 360 00:13:31,190 --> 00:13:29,519 on the other hand the question does 361 00:13:33,269 --> 00:13:31,200 arise 362 00:13:35,110 --> 00:13:33,279 do we have less faith in the u.s 363 00:13:37,430 --> 00:13:35,120 aerospace industry 364 00:13:39,670 --> 00:13:37,440 to carry our astronauts to orbit that we 365 00:13:49,509 --> 00:13:39,680 have to the russian industry to carry 366 00:13:54,550 --> 00:13:52,389 this is a decision that entails risk 367 00:13:55,750 --> 00:13:54,560 there is no question about it 368 00:13:56,790 --> 00:13:55,760 but with the 369 00:13:59,590 --> 00:13:56,800 strong 370 00:14:02,870 --> 00:13:59,600 active oversight of nasa 371 00:14:04,470 --> 00:14:02,880 i believe our industry is up to the job 372 00:14:06,550 --> 00:14:04,480 finally 373 00:14:08,710 --> 00:14:06,560 the question arises 374 00:14:10,470 --> 00:14:08,720 the president really addressed this 375 00:14:12,550 --> 00:14:10,480 why conduct space 376 00:14:14,710 --> 00:14:12,560 exploration at all 377 00:14:19,509 --> 00:14:14,720 certainly there are benefits to 378 00:14:22,790 --> 00:14:21,030 to science 379 00:14:24,230 --> 00:14:22,800 but the real benefit of the view of our 380 00:14:26,550 --> 00:14:24,240 panel 381 00:14:29,189 --> 00:14:26,560 is that it gives us a way 382 00:14:32,550 --> 00:14:29,199 to chart the way for humankind to expand 383 00:14:34,470 --> 00:14:32,560 its presence out into the solar system 384 00:14:36,150 --> 00:14:34,480 it doesn't seem that we have a need for 385 00:14:39,269 --> 00:14:36,160 a second moon race 386 00:14:41,430 --> 00:14:39,279 we need to set more demanded goals and 387 00:14:42,949 --> 00:14:41,440 in our mind that goal is landing humans 388 00:14:44,389 --> 00:14:42,959 on mars 389 00:14:45,750 --> 00:14:44,399 the problem is that we're not ready to 390 00:14:50,150 --> 00:14:45,760 do that today 391 00:14:56,629 --> 00:14:52,790 undoubtedly we 392 00:14:59,829 --> 00:14:56,639 will be able to land humans on mars 393 00:15:02,230 --> 00:14:59,839 they're not too distant future decades 394 00:15:03,829 --> 00:15:02,240 on the other hand i we do have the 395 00:15:05,670 --> 00:15:03,839 opportunity to do a lot of exciting 396 00:15:07,670 --> 00:15:05,680 things in the meantime 397 00:15:09,750 --> 00:15:07,680 and our committee defer referred to that 398 00:15:12,710 --> 00:15:09,760 as a flexible path 399 00:15:16,150 --> 00:15:12,720 it was a concept for space exploration 400 00:15:18,790 --> 00:15:16,160 where one takes steps every few years to 401 00:15:20,550 --> 00:15:18,800 something ever more exciting including 402 00:15:23,990 --> 00:15:20,560 things like 403 00:15:26,470 --> 00:15:24,000 circumnavigating mars orbiting mars 404 00:15:29,829 --> 00:15:26,480 landing on a 405 00:15:33,110 --> 00:15:31,509 it probably will include at some point 406 00:15:35,509 --> 00:15:33,120 returning to the moon 407 00:15:38,829 --> 00:15:35,519 going to lagrangian point landing on 408 00:15:41,910 --> 00:15:38,839 phobos or deimos the mar the moons of 409 00:15:44,870 --> 00:15:41,920 mars that is a highly simplified version 410 00:15:46,389 --> 00:15:44,880 of our 150 page report 411 00:15:47,590 --> 00:15:46,399 for those of you who like to read that 412 00:15:49,110 --> 00:15:47,600 kind of things 413 00:15:50,069 --> 00:15:49,120 you will recognize the president's 414 00:15:53,509 --> 00:15:50,079 program 415 00:15:55,910 --> 00:15:53,519 as being very close to the option 5b 416 00:15:59,269 --> 00:15:55,920 that we had proposed 417 00:16:01,910 --> 00:15:59,279 it would seem that if adequately funded 418 00:16:03,590 --> 00:16:01,920 and if timely decisions are made 419 00:16:05,110 --> 00:16:03,600 the president's program 420 00:16:07,990 --> 00:16:05,120 does give us a way 421 00:16:09,990 --> 00:16:08,000 to have a human space flight program 422 00:16:11,910 --> 00:16:10,000 worthy of a great nation 423 00:16:14,550 --> 00:16:11,920 and as others have said 424 00:16:25,030 --> 00:16:14,560 to transform us from transportation 425 00:16:29,269 --> 00:16:26,710 thanks very much norm and your words 426 00:16:31,030 --> 00:16:29,279 were very illuminating to me 427 00:16:32,710 --> 00:16:31,040 next i'm going to ask dr john holdren to 428 00:16:39,670 --> 00:16:32,720 come forward and give you some thoughts 429 00:16:43,670 --> 00:16:41,670 well i want to start by thanking charlie 430 00:16:45,910 --> 00:16:43,680 bolden for that very gracious 431 00:16:47,269 --> 00:16:45,920 introduction but even more i want to 432 00:16:49,749 --> 00:16:47,279 thank charlie bolden for his 433 00:16:51,749 --> 00:16:49,759 extraordinary service to this nation 434 00:16:54,629 --> 00:16:51,759 in a career that senator nelson 435 00:16:57,829 --> 00:16:54,639 summarized briefly that included being a 436 00:16:58,949 --> 00:16:57,839 marine an aviator a test pilot 437 00:17:01,189 --> 00:16:58,959 and now 438 00:17:02,949 --> 00:17:01,199 after a number of other kinds of service 439 00:17:05,189 --> 00:17:02,959 the extraordinarily far-sighted 440 00:17:08,309 --> 00:17:05,199 administrator of nasa 441 00:17:10,870 --> 00:17:08,319 i also want to thank norm augustine and 442 00:17:12,630 --> 00:17:10,880 his panel for the extraordinary service 443 00:17:16,309 --> 00:17:12,640 that they did i know how hard they 444 00:17:19,350 --> 00:17:16,319 worked and i also know the high value 445 00:17:22,630 --> 00:17:19,360 that their painstaking findings 446 00:17:24,949 --> 00:17:22,640 held for me for the nasa administrator 447 00:17:26,230 --> 00:17:24,959 for the president as we grappled with 448 00:17:29,990 --> 00:17:26,240 the challenge 449 00:17:32,549 --> 00:17:30,000 of formulating a plan that would in fact 450 00:17:35,350 --> 00:17:32,559 be worthy of a great nation 451 00:17:38,150 --> 00:17:35,360 i also want to recognize the astronauts 452 00:17:39,669 --> 00:17:38,160 who have been good enough to come here 453 00:17:41,750 --> 00:17:39,679 uh today 454 00:17:43,750 --> 00:17:41,760 the current astronauts and the former 455 00:17:45,590 --> 00:17:43,760 astronauts buzz aldrin has already been 456 00:17:47,430 --> 00:17:45,600 mentioned one of the first two human 457 00:17:49,590 --> 00:17:47,440 beings to set foot on the moon charlie 458 00:17:50,630 --> 00:17:49,600 bolden our nasa administrator 459 00:17:53,990 --> 00:17:50,640 twice 460 00:17:56,230 --> 00:17:54,000 commander 461 00:17:58,630 --> 00:17:56,240 but i also want to mention i think 462 00:18:00,549 --> 00:17:58,640 i've counted at least another eight who 463 00:18:03,270 --> 00:18:00,559 are here mae jemison 464 00:18:05,029 --> 00:18:03,280 john grunsfeld 465 00:18:06,950 --> 00:18:05,039 ed lew 466 00:18:08,470 --> 00:18:06,960 bob cabana 467 00:18:10,390 --> 00:18:08,480 leland melvin 468 00:18:11,669 --> 00:18:10,400 andy thomas 469 00:18:13,830 --> 00:18:11,679 mike fola 470 00:18:15,510 --> 00:18:13,840 brewster shaw i don't know if i've 471 00:18:17,350 --> 00:18:15,520 missed any 472 00:18:19,350 --> 00:18:17,360 i do need to say 473 00:18:21,270 --> 00:18:19,360 that the courage that it takes to allow 474 00:18:23,110 --> 00:18:21,280 yourself to be strapped on to five 475 00:18:25,590 --> 00:18:23,120 million pounds of thrust 476 00:18:27,510 --> 00:18:25,600 and rocket it into space never mind the 477 00:18:29,029 --> 00:18:27,520 courage it takes then to step outside 478 00:18:30,070 --> 00:18:29,039 the capsule 479 00:18:34,789 --> 00:18:30,080 out there 480 00:18:37,270 --> 00:18:34,799 is something i can only imagine barely 481 00:18:48,710 --> 00:18:37,280 i think we owe these heroes an enormous 482 00:18:52,549 --> 00:18:50,549 i'm not going to take a lot of your time 483 00:18:56,470 --> 00:18:52,559 in a moment we're going to break out 484 00:18:58,630 --> 00:18:56,480 into our four parallel panel sessions 485 00:19:01,669 --> 00:18:58,640 i just want to say very briefly 486 00:19:03,590 --> 00:19:01,679 if i had to encapsulate 487 00:19:05,830 --> 00:19:03,600 in just a few words 488 00:19:07,590 --> 00:19:05,840 what i think the president's new plan 489 00:19:09,190 --> 00:19:07,600 for nasa and human space flight 490 00:19:12,950 --> 00:19:09,200 represent 491 00:19:15,830 --> 00:19:12,960 i would say it's a faster pace in space 492 00:19:18,549 --> 00:19:15,840 more missions to more destinations 493 00:19:20,230 --> 00:19:18,559 sooner at lower cost 494 00:19:23,190 --> 00:19:20,240 i think the plan 495 00:19:25,909 --> 00:19:23,200 offers a more flexible more practical 496 00:19:29,029 --> 00:19:25,919 more productive and more affordable but 497 00:19:31,750 --> 00:19:29,039 also more visionary approach to us 498 00:19:33,750 --> 00:19:31,760 leadership in human space exploration 499 00:19:36,070 --> 00:19:33,760 than the plan that it replaces by 500 00:19:38,549 --> 00:19:36,080 stimulating an expanded commercial 501 00:19:40,230 --> 00:19:38,559 capability for carrying cargo and 502 00:19:42,789 --> 00:19:40,240 astronauts to low earth orbit and 503 00:19:45,270 --> 00:19:42,799 allowing nasa to devote more resources 504 00:19:46,630 --> 00:19:45,280 to advanced technologies for exploring 505 00:19:48,549 --> 00:19:46,640 deep space 506 00:19:50,710 --> 00:19:48,559 the president's plan will greatly 507 00:19:52,870 --> 00:19:50,720 increase the number of missions to the 508 00:19:55,990 --> 00:19:52,880 international space station between now 509 00:19:58,230 --> 00:19:56,000 and 2020 by u.s astronauts 510 00:20:01,029 --> 00:19:58,240 expanding the u.s use of the station for 511 00:20:03,350 --> 00:20:01,039 path-breaking science and as a platform 512 00:20:05,270 --> 00:20:03,360 for advanced technology development it 513 00:20:08,310 --> 00:20:05,280 will greatly increase the total number 514 00:20:10,870 --> 00:20:08,320 of missions human and robotic launched 515 00:20:12,149 --> 00:20:10,880 from this space center between now and 516 00:20:14,390 --> 00:20:12,159 2020 517 00:20:16,630 --> 00:20:14,400 it will shorten the duration of 518 00:20:18,710 --> 00:20:16,640 dependence on russian rockets for 519 00:20:20,950 --> 00:20:18,720 carrying u.s astronauts to low earth 520 00:20:21,830 --> 00:20:20,960 orbit following retirement of the 521 00:20:23,510 --> 00:20:21,840 shuttle 522 00:20:25,110 --> 00:20:23,520 it will accelerate 523 00:20:26,710 --> 00:20:25,120 the development of the advanced 524 00:20:29,590 --> 00:20:26,720 technologies needed to take our 525 00:20:32,390 --> 00:20:29,600 astronauts beyond low earth orbit with 526 00:20:34,789 --> 00:20:32,400 greater safety shorter trip times 527 00:20:38,070 --> 00:20:34,799 greater capabilities at destination and 528 00:20:40,390 --> 00:20:38,080 lower costs than with current technology 529 00:20:43,350 --> 00:20:40,400 and it will expand the roster of deep 530 00:20:46,230 --> 00:20:43,360 space destinations that u.s astronauts 531 00:20:48,390 --> 00:20:46,240 will be able to visit after 2020 so that 532 00:20:50,549 --> 00:20:48,400 that roster includes not only the moon 533 00:20:53,350 --> 00:20:50,559 but also near-earth asteroids the moons 534 00:20:55,669 --> 00:20:53,360 of mars and of course ultimately 535 00:20:56,710 --> 00:20:55,679 the martian surface 536 00:20:59,590 --> 00:20:56,720 i think 537 00:21:02,149 --> 00:20:59,600 that as people come to understand 538 00:21:03,270 --> 00:21:02,159 the flesh and bones of this plan in 539 00:21:06,070 --> 00:21:03,280 detail 540 00:21:08,710 --> 00:21:06,080 they will recognize its vision 541 00:21:10,149 --> 00:21:08,720 for what it is which is far-reaching 542 00:21:11,990 --> 00:21:10,159 inspirational 543 00:21:14,870 --> 00:21:12,000 a way that the united states can move 544 00:21:16,789 --> 00:21:14,880 forward in space in the 21st century in 545 00:21:20,149 --> 00:21:16,799 a manner as norm augustine has 546 00:21:23,350 --> 00:21:20,159 emphasized worthy of a great nation 547 00:21:24,630 --> 00:21:23,360 with that i would like to invite folks 548 00:21:27,110 --> 00:21:24,640 to 549 00:21:29,590 --> 00:21:27,120 depart for the various breakout sessions 550 00:21:31,830 --> 00:21:29,600 i understand the logistics of that have 551 00:21:34,549 --> 00:21:31,840 already been made known to people so 552 00:21:35,590 --> 00:21:34,559 that if i'm correctly informed you know 553 00:21:37,990 --> 00:21:35,600 how to get 554 00:21:39,750 --> 00:21:38,000 to the panels there are four panels uh 555 00:21:41,430 --> 00:21:39,760 as you should know 556 00:21:43,350 --> 00:21:41,440 a panel on expanding the use of the 557 00:21:46,149 --> 00:21:43,360 international space station as we extend 558 00:21:48,470 --> 00:21:46,159 its life a panel on advanced 559 00:21:51,270 --> 00:21:48,480 technologies for moving deeper 560 00:21:53,270 --> 00:21:51,280 into space a panel on the destinations 561 00:21:54,470 --> 00:21:53,280 on the flexible path 562 00:21:56,230 --> 00:21:54,480 forward 563 00:21:57,669 --> 00:21:56,240 and a panel on the economic 564 00:22:00,230 --> 00:21:57,679 opportunities 565 00:22:01,590 --> 00:22:00,240 associated with the new plan so i'm 566 00:22:02,710 --> 00:22:01,600 hoping that you all know where you're 567 00:22:04,070 --> 00:22:02,720 going 568 00:22:05,750 --> 00:22:04,080 if you don't you'll have to rely on 569 00:22:10,310 --> 00:22:05,760 somebody besides me to tell you thank 570 00:22:15,510 --> 00:22:11,750 thanks 571 00:22:17,110 --> 00:22:15,520 coming i know some will not be staying 572 00:22:20,149 --> 00:22:17,120 but for those of you who are 573 00:22:21,750 --> 00:22:20,159 the three panels all but one panel are 574 00:22:22,870 --> 00:22:21,760 going to go from here by bus to the 575 00:22:23,750 --> 00:22:22,880 divas 576 00:22:25,909 --> 00:22:23,760 center 577 00:22:28,710 --> 00:22:25,919 uh the panel on international space 578 00:22:30,789 --> 00:22:28,720 station with miles o'brien just stay put 579 00:22:32,470 --> 00:22:30,799 until people start moving and then we're 580 00:22:34,870 --> 00:22:32,480 moving you into a conference room here 581 00:22:36,950 --> 00:22:34,880 let me re-emphasize what i said this is 582 00:22:38,950 --> 00:22:36,960 not for show 583 00:22:41,590 --> 00:22:38,960 we want to hear from you and we hope to 584 00:22:43,190 --> 00:22:41,600 have some vigorous discussion uh in the